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Modelling Potential Malaria Spread in Germany by Use of Climate Change Projections

A Risk Assessment Approach Coupling Epidemiologic and Geostatistical Measures, SpringerBriefs in Environmental Science

Erschienen am 08.01.2014, 1. Auflage 2014
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Bibliografische Daten
ISBN/EAN: 9783319038223
Sprache: Englisch
Umfang: viii, 58 S., 3 s/w Illustr., 15 farbige Illustr.,
Einband: kartoniertes Buch

Beschreibung

This book investigates the spatial distribution of potential temperature-driven malaria transmissions, using the basic reproduction rate (R0) to model the reproduction of the malaria pathogen Plasmodium vivax. The authors mapped areas at risk of an outbreak of tertian malaria in the federal state of Lower Saxony (pre-study) and for whole Germany (main-study) by means of geostatistics for past (1947-2007) and future periods. Projections based on predicted monthly mean air temperature data derived from the IPCC and regionally discriminated by two regional climate models (REMO, WettReg) for the countrywide study.

Produktsicherheitsverordnung

Hersteller:
Springer Verlag GmbH
juergen.hartmann@springer.com
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DE 69121 Heidelberg